Projection method and data notes
Chances come from 3,000 simulations of the remaining season. Attendance follows each player's rate so far; future points vary around their average using their past variability and a minimum 12-point spread. Every simulation recalculates the best eight and minimum three appearances. Selecting a number of days fixes your attendance while others continue at their usual rates.
Estimates use current players, membership, divisions and allocated places. The projected line is the median cutoff when enough eligible players fill the available places. The displayed range contains the middle 80% of those cutoffs. For the afternoon cut, tied morning scores are decided by S2 ladder position. Ties on projected S2 points share remaining chances equally in the model. These percentages are estimates.